Energy Transition Quiz

1) What share of the transportation GHG emissions are emitted by cars, versus shipping and aviation?

Cars: ~50%, Shipping 20%, Aviation 30%

Cars: ~70%, Shipping: ~15%, ~ Aviation 15%

Cars: ~60%, Shipping 10%, Aviation 30%

2) What would be the well-to-wheel efficiency of an electric vehicle versus one that runs on hydrogen, and one to runs on e-fuels?

Well-to-wheel efficiency of a battery electric vehicle has 60% efficiency; hydrogen car 50%; e-fuels car <50%

Well-to-wheel efficiency of a battery electric vehicle has 75% efficiency; hydrogen car 32%; e-fuels car <20%

Well-to-wheel efficiency of a battery electric vehicle has 90% efficiency; hydrogen car 60%; e-fuels car <50%

3) According to EU policy on fuel economy standards, what is the target emission level of 2030 versus that of 2015, and what does that mean for the fuel standard of new cars?

Emissions in 2030 have to come down by another 30% versus that of 2015 levels; average fuel economy of new cars would be ~6L/100km

Emissions in 2030 have to come down by another 50% versus that of 2015 levels; average fuel economy of new cars would be ~3L/100km

What is IEA’s expected share of electric vehicles (Battery Electric Vehicles, and Plug-in Hybrids) of new car sales in Europe in 2030? What would be the share including all Hybrid Electric Vehicles?

Marketshare of Evs is expected to be ~25%; including hybrids it is 60% of new car sales

Marketshare of Evs is expected to be ~35%; including hybrids it is 50% of new car sales

5) Carbon price today is €25/tonne. What carbon tax price would be necessary to make synthetic fuels competitive with regular fuels?

Biofuels and synthetic fuel options would be competitive at €100/tonne, which is 4x higher than today’s carbon price

Biofuels would be competitive at €250/tonne of CO2; Synthetic fuel options (ammonia/hydrogen) competitive at €500/tonne

Based on all the newly announced policy measures that are out there, what is the total expected growth rate of liquid fuels (oil products + biofuels) in Europe by 2040 (IEA forecast)?

Total growth of + 10%

Total decline of -10%

Total decline of -30%

Total decline of -40%

Based on what you know about either the policy intentions or the market structures of the various EU countries – which country do you think would have an exceptional outlook on oil demand (significantly different than that of the rest of the EU)?

France

Germany

Netherlands

Spain

What share of the Alkion capacities and revenues come from petroleum products (not including lubricants, bitumen products and biofuels)?

Capacity: 50%; revenues 40%

Capacity: 35%; revenues 25%

Capacity: 40%; revenues 50%

Capacity: 25%; revenues 35%

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